Saturday, April 16, 2011

The Journey of Heart of Stone 0.6

How long did it take me to get Heart of Stone formatted?


What?
Date
Days elapsed
*
Total days
Date I first contacted RS**31 Dec 2010
0
0
Date I contacted RS about Heart of Stone27 Jan 2011
0
0
Manuscript sent to RS08 Mar 2011
40
40
Manuscript receipt confirmed to me08 Mar 2011
0
40
Revised manuscript sent to RS10 Mar 2011
2
42
Revised manuscript receipt confirmed to me10 Mar 2011
0
42
Queries regarding manuscript formats to me 17 Mar 2011
7
49
Answers to RS17 Mar 2011
0
49
Galley proofs to me21 Mar 2011
4
53
Galley proofs edits to RS30 Mar 2011
9
62
Edited galley proofs to me31 Mar 2011
1
63
Second round of Galley proofs edits to RS01 Apr 2011
1
64
Waiting for cover art--
?
?

__________
* 'Days elapsed' shows the days from the last event (that is, the 'What?') until the current event.  The clock for both 'Days elapsed' and 'Total days' started when I contacted Rob Siders for work.  My first contact on the last day of 2010 was a question about fonts.
** RS = Rob Siders at 52novels.com.

Wednesday, April 13, 2011

Publishing Economics 0.3: TradPubs Pricing Methods

     There are four pricing methods:  1) Cost-plus pricing; 2) Target-return pricing; 3) Value-based pricing; and 4) Psychological pricing.  These are not exclusive; use of one does not preclude you from using another.

     Which of these methods do the TradPubs use?

     Cost-plus pricing? 
     It is doubtful that the Trad Pubs use cost-plus pricing, because cost-plus pricing implies that they have a firm grasp of their costs.  I don't believe they do.  There are more WAGs* in a TradPub accounting division than in a puppy kennel.

     Target-return pricing?
     The evidence says the TradPubs use target-return pricing.  How else can Sentinel HC justify $36 for Donald Rumsfeld's book unless they figure on it selling X number of copies and they divide the advance they paid Rumsfeld by X and add their WAG at unit cost to come up with the unit price?

     Value-based pricing?
     I have seen no evidence that the TradPubs use value-based pricing.  Second-hand sales on Amazon and eBay aside, in no instance does the reader set the price.
     If Scholastic used value-based pricing, then Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone in hardcover would sell for more than $30.00 (discounted to $19.80).

     Psychological pricing?
     The evidence that TradPubs use psychological pricing is clear and convincing.  Have you noticed how many hardcovers are priced $24.99?  How many mass-market paperbacks are $7.99?  Why? 
     Price points. 
     The odd thing is that the TradPubs price against each other.  They do not appear to consider what price point will garner the greatest number of readers but rather they appear to price their products based on their competitors' pricings. 

     In short, TradPus appear to use target-return pricing and psychological pricing.  There is no evidence that they use cost-plus pricing or value-based pricing.
____________________
* Wild Ass Guesses.

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

The 99-cent eBook

From time to time, SF Signal puts out a great podcast.  This one is outstanding:
http://www.sfsignal.com/archives/2011/04/the-sf-signal-podcast-episode-041-panel-discussion-the-099-ebook/

At 31 minutes and 48 seconds, it is the longest podcast I have heard them do, but it is worth every minute.  Download it so you can listen to it many times. 

If you can, go to iTunes and give the boys and girls at SF Signal some love; that is, some stars and a positive review.

Friday, April 8, 2011

The Journey of Heart of Stone 0.5

    This week in formatting:  Rob Siders notified me that he is going on vacation.  I sent changes to the Table of Contents, because I changed the order of the pieces that follow the book:  Dedication, Thanks, Dear Reader, Bonus Short Story, and Excerpt from the next novel.  Rob can get those done when he returns.
     This week in cover art:  Wednesday, 06 April 2011, I received a draft cover art from Carl Graves.  The art needs work.  The concept is off target.

++++++++++

     I find it hard to believe how much energy I am expending to get this novel out.  Writing was a breeze compared to this.  The worst part is that I have no energy left for writing.  Navel of the Moon waits to be written, but so far all I have down is the prologue.
    I pray that once Heart of Stone is released that I can devote my energy to Navel of the Moon. 

Thursday, April 7, 2011

Publishing Economics 0.2: Pricing Methods

     Before I take on the task of describing the traditional publishing (TradPub) houses' pricing methods and independent (Indie) publishers' pricing methods, I shall give a short primer in pricing methods.

     There are four pricing methods*:  1) Cost-plus pricing; 2) Target-return pricing; 3) Value-based pricing; and 4) Psychological pricing.


Cost-plus pricing.

     Figure up your costs of production and add a percentage. 
     This is the method used in the custom home-building trade.  Before he retired, my father built custom homes, so I have some experience with this.  In the housing bizz, the mark-up quoted ran 8 to 12 percent. 
     This is the method the board gaming industry used in the 1970s.  Their mark-up ran 325%.  It should have been 400%, but they saved money on their product testing by using unpaid labor.  (It's amazing how much you can get college boys to do when you promise them free pizza and beer.)


Target-return pricing.

     Figure up your costs of production, add to that your investment (or desired profit), take a WAG** at your sales volume for the next year, and divide the costs-plus-investment by that volume to get your unit price.
     To me, target-return pricing looks like an academic doctoral thesis and a practical goat-rope.  It assumes that you can 1) figure your costs of production accurately and precisely and 2) predict the future.  If I could do 2, I wouldn't be producing anything.  I would be down at the track, playing the ponies.  Much more fun and less trouble.  At least until Manny's boys came over and said, "You never lose.  Wanna come 'splain to Manny how that is?"
     I couldn't think of any examples of target-return pricing.  Had to google 'target return pricing examples'.  Turns out the leading example of a corporation that uses target-return pricing is General Motors.  Hahahaha!
     I think we can leave target-return pricing to the eggheads at the University of Chicago School of Law.


Value-based pricing.

     "Price your product based on the value it creates for the customer. This is usually the most profitable form of pricing, if you can achieve it."
     Note the simplicity of this model.  Forget production costs (well, almost).  Forget markup.  Show the customer your product and ask him what he is willing to pay for it.  Voila!  The customer has just set the price.
     If you figure you can make money at the customer's price, you make a sale.  Then another.  And another.  As word gets around, you make as many sales as you have product.


Psychological pricing.

     The customer's perception determines the price.
     There are a number of subdivisions of psychologocial pricing, but the big one is Price Points.  Ever notice how many items are priced $19.99?  ('Cause the ATMs spit out twenty-dollar bills.)  Or restaurants advertise lunch specials for $5?  ('Cause you have a fiver in your pocket.)
    The key is setting the price to make the purchase an impulse buy.  In slang, a no-brainer.  You don't want the customer to think about the product too much.  You want the customer to think "What a bargain!"  The latter leads to a quick sale.


     You know what?  Over time all these methods converge to Value-based pricing. 
     My father said, "You can buy quality once or cheap many times."  How true that is. 
     My father used only standard grade (A grade) lumber.  Other contractors used utility grade (C grade).  As you would expect, my father's costs were higher than other contractors and so his bids for the same house were higher.  My father also used 5/8" steel in his foundations; code required only 1/2".  That was only one instance.  Every one of his construction practices exceeded code. 
     Word got around that my father delivered a quality product.  When times got rough, other contractors couldn't find work, but my father still had a 2 year backlog.  That when he was running three crews and turning out a new custom-built home every month.
     Why?
     Because the perception of value was there.  The product history justified that perception. 
     I recently bought Terry Pratchett's Hogfather for my Kindle.  Someone asked me how much I paid for it.  I didn't know.  Had to look up the receipt.  I paid $9.59 for it.  But I didn't care.  I knew Hogfather to be a great book.  At the price quoted, I knew I would get value for the money, and I didn't think twice about hitting the one-click button on Amazon.
     The customer will pay for value.
     Keep that in mind.
     The customer will pay for value.
     You in the back. . .write this down.
     The customer will pay for value.

     Next time:  TradPubs Pricing.
____________________
* That there are not more pricing methods shows that economists lack imagination.
** Wild Ass Guess.

Sunday, April 3, 2011

Sunday eBook Review: Wild Night Is Calling

Product Details


JA Konrath and Ann Voss Peterson,  Wild Night Is Calling
Product Details

  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • File Size: 151 KB
  • Simultaneous Device Usage: Unlimited
  • Sold by: Amazon Digital Services
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B004P8JMNY
  • Average Customer Review: 4.7 out of 5 stars (9 reviews) 
 1. Short review:   

2. Long review:
2.1. What I liked:  The writing is clean (one glitch); the pace is fast.
     Roller coaster or walk in the park?
     Roller coaster.

2.2. What I did not like:  I do not like horror.  I did not enjoy the story.  Those who do like horror may enjoy the story.

2.3. Who I think is the audience:  Horror fans, especially teenage horror fans.

2.4. Is the book appropriate for children to read?  No.  I rate it NC17.

2.5. On the basis of reading this book, will I buy the author's next book?  No, but that judgment is based on the fact that this is a genre I do not like and do not read.

2.6. Other: 
     Wild Night Is Calling is not a novel; it is a short story.
     Wild Night Is Calling has a number of twists.  One surprised me.  The others I saw coming.
     The one glitch (maybe) is the use of 'fiver' in a radio call.  I have never heard 'fiver' used.  I have heard 'niner'.
     Joe Konrath is using Wild Night Is Calling to promote his next book, Flee.  If you buy Wild Night Is Calling and email the last line from that story to Joe, he promises to send you Flee before the release date (26 April 2011). Click here for details.

2.7.  Links:
J A Konrath @ http://jakonrath.blogspot.com/
Ann Voss Peterson @ http://www.annvosspeterson.com/

2.8.  Buy the book:  http://www.amazon.com/Wild-Night-Is-Calling-ebook/dp/B004P8JMNY/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&m=A2UOTGG055ANF7&s=books&qid=1301827857&sr=8-1

Friday, April 1, 2011

The Journey of Heart of Stone 0.4

     This week in formatting:  Corrected the Galleys and sent the edits and corrections--a total of 33--back to Rob Siders at 52 Novels Wednesday, 30 March 2011.  Rob had the revised Galleys to me Thursday, 31 March 2011.  I revised three items and sent the Galleys back today, Friday, 01 April 2011.
     This week in cover art:  Wednesday, 30 March 2011, I received a msg from Carl Graves that he will have a concept for me this weekend.

     God willing, I shall release Heart of Stone in April.  Once it is released, I will try to put a timeline of its progress on this blog.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Publishing Economics 0.1

     I don't know much about the particular costs inherent in paper book publication.  Only the accountants in houses like Harper-Collins and Random House know those, and they ain't sayin'.
     So how can I estimate the price of a paper book?  By analogy.
     The 1970s were the heyday of the boardgame.  Game designers like James Dunnigan, John Hill, and Frank Chapman were each turning out a new game every month.  They produced famous games like PanzerBlitz, The Battle for Hue, and Harpoon.
     At a time when the cost of a new game was $8, the physical content--the box, board, dice, playing pieces, and rulebook--cost $1.88.*
     In truth, the games were underpriced.  They should have been priced $9.40--five times the unit cost.**  This difference between the price they charged and the price they should have charged killed many game companies, including the innovative leader S&T.  How innovative were they?  Innovative enough that their chief competitor, Avalon Hill, hired them to design a game for them.
     So if, as Mr Bransford said, the physical costs total $1.50, then books should be sold to readers for $7.50.  I don't see that happening.
     On Amazon, I see Donald Rumsfeld's Known and Unknown*** marked down to $19.46 from $36.00.  That tells me that the unit cost TO PRINT THE BOOK is either $3.73 (re: $19.46) or $7.20 (re: $36.00).  If those costs are wrong, then 1) the TradPubs practice voodoo accounting or 2) the TradPubs' cost structure is so badly out of whack that it would be easier to replace it with a new model than it would be to fix it.
     Number 1 on the New York Times Bestsellers List in Fiction is James Patterson's Toys, listed for $27.99 but marked down to $14.28.  Did Little, Brown and Company spend $5.60 or $2.86 on the paper?  Who knows?  I don't.  Does Little, Brown and Company know?
     The problem with taking apart the TradPubs' pricing model is that no one knows how they arrive at their prices.  It makes no difference whether you are inside or outside the industry.  Why is James Patterson priced at $27.99 and selling at $14.28 while Donald Rumsfeld is priced at $36.00 and selling at $19.46?  The pricing is illogical and the discounts are unpredictable.
     This pricing structure is inefficient and unmanageable.  It is doomed to fail or to fall.  It will fail whenever and wherever it has to compete against a more efficient pricing structure.  It will fall when the weight of accumulated bureaucracy becomes more costly than it can support.
     Next time:  Lurching Toward a New Pricing Paradigm
____________________
* This is the reason I do not believe Mr Bransford's estimate that the paper and distribution costs of a new book total $1.50.  I do not believe that paper costs LESS today than it did 40 years ago.
** This '5x' scheme makes pricing tractable.  Labor costs are subsumed in the markup.  In fact, all costs that are 'amortized' are subsumed.  But management can do cost breakouts and work to keep their labor costs within set goals.
*** You can love Rumsfeld or hate him, but you know his book is gonna sell.

++++++++++++++++++++
     If you have not read Joe Konrath's interview of Mark Coker, the founder of Smashwords, please do so.  The read was worth my time.  I bet it will be worth yours, too.
     Be sure to read the comments.  Mr Coker's answers to readers' comments are included there.

Sunday, March 27, 2011

Sunday eBook Review



Terry Pratchett,  Hogfather

Product Details
  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • File Size: 274 KB
  • Print Length: 384 pages
  • Page Numbers Source ISBN: 0061059056
  • Publisher: HarperCollins e-books; Rei Rep edition (January 16, 2007)
  • Sold by: Amazon Digital Services
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B000W5MIGC
  • Average Customer Review: 4.6 out of 5 stars (118 reviews) 
 1. Short review:   

2. Long review:
2.1. What I liked:  I don't like fantasy, but I love Terry Pratchett's Discworld series.  Of all the books in the series, for my money, this is the best.
     Roller coaster or walk in the park?
     Roller coaster, but a slow roller coaster.  It is the Terry Pratchett style, the characters he creates, and the Discworld scenery that makes this book a winner.

2.2. What I did not like:  The cover of the eBook sucks.  The editor at Harper-Collins who was responsible for getting this book to Kindle format needs to be fired 'pour encourager les autres'.

2.3. Who I think is the audience:  Anyone who reads English and is over the age of 12.

2.4. Is the book appropriate for children to read?  12 and up-- yes.  Under 12?  You read it first and judge for yourself if you want to give it to your little innocents.

2.5. On the basis of reading this book, will I buy the author's next book?  Oh, yeah.

2.6. Other: 
     Hogfather is the first Discworld book I read.  After reading all the other--and buying most of them--it is still my favorite in the series.
     Hogfather will introduce you to DEATH; his granddaughter, Susan; and to Terry Pratchett's unique style (Footnotes in a fantasy novel?  No, funny footnotes in a fantasy novel.)  Hogfather is both laugh-out-loud funny and profound.
     The Hogfather is Discworld's version of Santa Claus.  What happens when the Hogfather is kidnapped?  DEATH takes his place.  Why?  To keep the residents of Ankh-Morpork believing the lies that hold the world together.  Meanwhile, Susan chases the kidnappers to save the Hogfather.
     You won't forget it.  I didn't.

2.7.  Links:
Terry Pratchett @ http://www.terrypratchett.co.uk/
His books @ http://www.terrypratchettbooks.com/

2.8.  Buy the book:  http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=node%3D1286228011&field-keywords=hogfather

Friday, March 25, 2011

The Journey of Heart of Stone 0.3

     This week in formatting:  Nothing new since 0.2 post.  I plan to read and correct the galleys this weekend.
     This week in cover art:  No news.  Sent Carl Graves an email to ask when I may expect cover art.

* * *

     If you have not read Joe Konrath's most recent blog post, please do.

* * *

     Amanda Hocking inked a four-book deal with St. Martin's Press (Macmillan) for $2 million.
     I got money that says the TradPub defenders crow about this, and I will give 10-to-1 odds.
     My thoughts?  Wait until the four books are delivered and see if Ms Hocking signs a second deal with St. Martin's.